Cole Mining: uncovering why the Erik Cole experiment is not working

The Montreal Canadiens’ decision to sign Erik Cole to a four-year contract worth an average of $4.5 million per season was initially met with optimism. Cole was viewed as a power forward who could add a physical presence and scoring touch to the team. However, as the season progresses, it’s becoming increasingly clear that this signing may not be working out as planned. This is not necessarily a reflection of Erik Cole’s abilities as a player but rather a sign of a larger issue within the Canadiens’ management and scouting departments.

The Role of a $4.5M Forward

When a team invests significant cap space in a forward, expectations naturally follow. A player with a cap hit of $4.5 million is expected to be a top-six forward, contributing consistently at even strength and on special teams, particularly the power play. However, Erik Cole’s utilization in Montreal raises serious concerns about whether management properly evaluated his fit within the team’s system before making the commitment.

Breaking Down the Ice Time

Cole’s deployment thus far has been puzzling. Below are his average time on ice numbers per game:

  • Even Strength: 13:29 (6th among Habs forwards)
  • Power Play: 1:08 (9th among Habs forwards)
  • Penalty Kill: 0:00 (last among Habs forwards)
  • Total Ice Time: 14:37

To put this into context, six other Montreal forwards average more than 15:52 per game, including Mike Cammalleri. If Cole is not being used extensively in offensive situations, it raises the question of whether his salary is justified.

The Power Play Problem

The most glaring issue is his power play usage. Among forwards earning at least $4.5 million per season, Cole ranks near the bottom in power play time per game. Below is a comparison to other high-paid forwards:

RankPlayerTeamPP TOI
1Ilya KovalchukNJD6:33
2Shane DoanPHX6:04
3Tomas FleischmannFLA5:43
4Phil KesselTOR5:05
5Jeff CarterCLB4:51
6Rick NashCLB4:46
7Brad RichardsNYR4:45
8Zach PariseNJD4:39
9Anze KopitarLAK4:38
10Patrik EliasNJD4:35
11Henrik SedinVAN4:31
12Danny BrierePHI4:29
13Daniel SedinVAN4:28
14Ryan GetzlafANA4:27
15Eric StaalCAR4:26
16Tomas PlekanecMTL4:24
17Henrik ZetterbergDET4:23
18Corey PerryANA4:21
19Patrick MarleauSJS4:21
20Joe ThorntonSJS4:20
21Pavel DatsyukDET4:19
22Patrice BergeronBOS4:19
23Mike RibeiroDAL4:17
24Patrick KaneCHI4:15
25Jonathan ToewsCHI4:12
26Steven StamkosTBL4:10
27Evgeni MalkinPIT4:04
28Mike RichardsLAK4:01
29Brian RolstonNYI3:54
30Nicklas BackstromWAS3:50
31Martin St. LouisTBL3:47
32Vincent LecavalierTBL3:45
33Marian GaborikNYR3:44
34Jason SpezzaOTT3:44
35Alex OvechkinWAS3:43
36Dany HeatleyMIN3:36
37Alexander SeminWAS3:36
38Thomas VanekBUF3:33
39Andy McDonaldSTL3:29
40Mikko KoivuMIN3:26
41Marian HossaCHI3:19
42David LegwandNAS3:19
43Brian GiontaMTL3:18
44Mike CammalleriMTL3:16
45Jason PominvilleBUF3:14
46Ryan MaloneTBL3:05
47Paul StastnyCOL3:03
48Scott GomezMTL3:00
49Martin EratNAS2:58
50Daymond LangkowPHX2:58
51Jarome IginlaCGY2:55
52Ryan SmythEDM2:50
53Brooks LaichWAS2:49
54Daniel AlfredssonOTT2:47
55David BackesSTL2:35
56Shawn HorcoffEDM2:17
57Bobby RyanANA1:38
58Erik ColeMTL1:08
59Ville LeinoBUF0:28

A shocking statistic emerges from this analysis: 56 other high-earning forwards play at least double the power play minutes that Cole does. Bobby Ryan, who ranks just ahead of him, still averages 30 more seconds on the power play while playing four more minutes per game overall.

A Question for Canadiens Management

If I were the owner of the Montreal Canadiens, I would be asking my general manager two critical questions:

  1. When you signed Erik Cole, did you expect that he wouldn’t be getting power play time and that he wouldn’t be among the top six forwards in total ice time?
  2. If yes, why are we paying a player $4.5 million for a bottom-six role?
  3. If no, how did our pro scouting department fail so badly in assessing where he would fit within our system?

This scenario is eerily similar to the situation with Scott Gomez, a player whose contract has made him a target for fans’ frustrations. If Cole continues to be underutilized, it won’t be long before fans start voicing their concerns, even if the problem isn’t his fault.

Where Do the Canadiens Go From Here?

To salvage this situation, the Canadiens have a few potential options:

  • Increase Cole’s Power Play Time: If he was brought in to provide secondary scoring, he needs more opportunities with the man advantage. Placing him on the second power play unit could help him find his rhythm.
  • Adjust Line Combinations: If Cole is struggling to produce, perhaps a different set of linemates would maximize his strengths. Finding the right chemistry is crucial.
  • Consider a Trade: If the coaching staff does not see Cole as a fit in the top six or on the power play, then moving his contract before it becomes an albatross might be the best solution.

Final Thoughts

While Erik Cole remains a talented player, the way he is being used in Montreal raises serious concerns about the Canadiens’ roster management. A player earning $4.5 million should not be playing fourth-line minutes on the power play. Whether this is a failure of scouting, coaching, or cap management, one thing is clear—Montreal needs to find a way to get more value out of Erik Cole before this contract becomes another mistake in the team’s salary cap history.